Intrust Shute Shield: Final round hypotheticals
With one round remaining, seven teams are still in contention for a top six finish and a spot in the Intrust Shute Shield playoffs.
Regardless of this weekend’s results, Sydney Uni, Northern Suburbs, Southern Districts and Randwick will play in week one of the finals, leaving Warringah, Manly and Eastwood to battle for the final two spots.
If two teams finish the regular season with the same amount of competition points, the team with the most wins will finish ahead.
The format for the opening week of the finals is (highest ranked team at home): 1 v 6; 2 v 5; 3 v 6.
Here’s how things could play out:
1st) Sydney University (64pts,12w): Parramatta (H)
Sydney Uni can claim the minor premiership with a bonus point win over Parramatta at Camperdown on Saturday. If they win without a bonus point, they could finish anywhere from first to third, while a loss could see the Students drop as low as fourth.
2nd) Northern Suburbs (63pts,13w): Manly (H)
Norths can secure a top three finish if they beat Manly this weekend. If they claim a bonus point win and Sydney Uni don’t, the Shoreman will jump to top spot and win the minor premiership. A loss to Manly will most likely see Norths finish third or fourth.
3rd) Southern Districts (63pts,12w): Eastern Suburbs (A)
Like Sydney Uni and Norths, Souths can secure a home semi final in week one if they beat Easts on Saturday. A bonus point win could push the Rebels as high as first however they would need other results to go their way. If the Rebels lose, the lowest they can finish is fourth.
4th) Randwick (61pts,12w): Warringah (H)
Although Randwick have secured a finals spot, they could finish anywhere from first to sixth depending on this weekend’s results. If the Galloping Greens beat Warringah and either Sydney Uni, Norths or Souths lose, Randwick will push into the top three and play at Coogee Oval in week one. If they lose without a bonus point, they’ll finish fifth or sixth. Although Eastwood could technically finish equal with Randwick on 61 competition points, Randwick will finish ahead of the Woodies with one extra win.
5th) Warringah (58pts,10w): Randwick (A)
Warringah can secure a finals berth if they beat Randwick on Saturday and will finish fourth, fifth or sixth depending on bonus points. If Randwick beat the Rats, Warringah will need either Eastwood to lose, or Manly to lose without a bonus point to finish in the top six.
6th) Manly (57pts,11w): Northern Suburbs (A)
Manly will finish in the top six if they beat Norths on Saturday and could end up anywhere from fourth to sixth. If they don’t win, the Marlins can still make the finals if they claim a bonus point and Warringah lose, or if Eastwood lose to Gordon.
7th) Eastwood (56pts,10w): Gordon (A)
Eastwood need to beat Gordon on Saturday and will need either Warringah or Manly to lose if they are to finish in the top six. Even though the Woodies could end up level with either Randwick or Manly on 61 competition points (with a bonus point win), they’ll still be one win short of securing a finals berth.